Rowing Distance Predictor

Enter one known erg result and predict your time for every standard Concept2 distance.

Quick summary

What it does:
Predicts times for all standard erg distances from one known result
Formula:
Paul's Law rowing prediction formula
Output:
Predicted times for 500m through marathon
Price:
Free, no signup required
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How distance prediction works

Predictions use Paul's Law with a 1.06 exponent: T2 = T1 × (D2/D1)1.06. This accounts for the aerobic dropoff as distance increases.

Accuracy is best when predicting between similar distances (e.g. 5K to 2K) and decreases for very large jumps (e.g. 500m to marathon). All predictions assume well-paced max-effort tests.

Use our zone calculator to find training paces for your predicted 2K.

Get smarter predictions from real training data

ErgManiac uses your full workout history for more accurate multi-distance predictions.

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